Comments on: Bezos: “My passion is for space” http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/ Tracking the entrepreneurial space industry Fri, 12 Sep 2014 14:33:32 +0800 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=4.0.38 By: Tech News » Blog Archive » More Revealed About Amazon CEO’s Private Rocketship Company http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-217071 Mon, 26 Nov 2007 21:18:32 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-217071 […] Bezos: "My Passion is for Space" [personalspaceflight.info] (with "rough transcript" of interview) […]

]]> By: Sam Dinkin http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-216525 Sun, 25 Nov 2007 07:10:25 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-216525 Info market is the best aggregator of information available. But it has limits. If nobody knows what the suborbital tourism market will be like, there is little information to aggregate. A survey of what one person will do prior to the service offering appearing has a fairly high variance as a predictor of self, much less of others.

VG says it has a bunch of money in refundable deposits. We’ll see how much of that translates to demand at what rate and how much supply comes on line.

]]> By: james lee http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-215464 Thu, 22 Nov 2007 13:47:42 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-215464 If you buid it, they will come, IF you provide some new value.

Disruptive technology changed the game when it allowed less
skilled people to get into the game.

Orbital tourism will expand when you don’t need to spend a year
training as a cosmonaut

]]> By: Peter Shearer http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-215427 Thu, 22 Nov 2007 09:03:36 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-215427 If you build it… They will come.

]]> By: Pete Zaitcev http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-215336 Thu, 22 Nov 2007 03:42:37 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-215336 Christiansen’s book lays down a very good case against relying on market research when disruptive technologies are brought to the market. Market research only works for sustaining technologies, e.g. those which improve product performance. E.g. an ELV with a bigger payload. If you work on a lower performance product, market research is useless.

]]> By: james lee http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-215077 Wed, 21 Nov 2007 19:53:51 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-215077 Well to be fair market studies vary widely depending on the market. Existing well understood markets have great studies,
new flaky or changing markets have bad studies.

The market studies for the iPod never showed a portable
MP3 player as very viable, and SOny had the Walkmana nd Discman market down cold.

The market studies for PC’s were horrible for years, underpredicting, over predicting, causing terrible price wars as people overbuilt.

In the 1990’s the market studies for space launch were awful
they had this hockeystick curve for years until LEO Comms
died.

The market for orbital tourism is somewhere between 2 people/year and 2 million

the market for suborbital tourism? well right now Virgin Galactic has the best data.

]]> By: Jeff Foust http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-215045 Wed, 21 Nov 2007 18:00:58 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-215045 Chance: “umbrage” is a bit strong for my tastes. I’m disappointed he doesn’t have a greater appreciation for the value of market studies, but to each his own.

]]> By: Chance http://www.newspacejournal.com/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/comment-page-1/#comment-214895 Wed, 21 Nov 2007 12:40:38 +0000 http://www.personalspaceflight.info/2007/11/21/bezos-my-passion-is-for-space/#comment-214895 Didn’t your comapany do those studies Jeff? I would take umbrage.

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